@InProceedings{RochaDela:2007:UsReOp,
author = "Rocha, Henrique Martins and Delamaro, Mauricio Cesar",
affiliation = "{UNESP \& AEDB} and UNESP",
title = "Product development process: using real options for assessments
and to support the decision-making at decision gates",
booktitle = "Proceedings...",
year = "2007",
editor = "Loureiro, Geilson and Curran, Ricky",
pages = "96--103",
organization = "ISPE International Conference on Concurrent Engineering, 14. (CE
2007).",
publisher = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
address = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
keywords = "real options theory, product development process, risk, investment
decision making under uncertainty.",
abstract = "Enterprises need continuous product development activities to
remain competitive in the marketplace. Their product development
process (PDP) must manage stakeholders needs - technical,
financial, legal, and environmental aspects, customer
requirements, Corporate strategy, etc. -, being a
multidisciplinary and strategic issue. PDPs are usually broken
into sequential stages (or phases), so that requirements can be
checked against plans to evaluate the process alignment and trends
towards the objectives. Checkpoints between phases involve go/no
go decisions, leading the process towards later management
decisions or terminating projects that do not offer good chances
of revenue/profits to the company, nor opportunities for a better
strategic positioning. The present article is intended to study
PDP methodologies, mainly return and risk concepts, methodologies,
best practices, and working models to maximize the expected return
value of the investments in product development. In the corporate
finance literature, the value of a risky project is calculated by
the net present value (NPV) of its cash flows, discounted at a
discount rate that reflects the project risk: such method is not
able to capture the management flexibility along the
decision-making process. Several methods have been proposed to
value such situation, including decision trees, but the
appropriate risk-adjusted discount rate is still virtually
indeterminate. The real option valuation method is often presented
as an alternative to the conventional NPV approach, calculated
using the same principals of financial options: the right to buy
or sell a financial value (mostly a stock) for a predetermined
price, with no obligation to do so. Options associated with
non-financial investment opportunities are called {"}real
options{"}: a multi-period approach that takes into account the
flexibility of, for instance, being able to postpone prototyping
and design decisions, waiting for more information under
uncertainty in technologies, customer acceptance, funding, etc. In
the present article, the state of the art of real options theory
is prospected and a link between the diverse methodologies of PDP
and real options theory are searched, mainly focused on decision
processes along the project and product lifecycle, towards the
expected investment return. A model to use the real options theory
is proposed, so that pricing can be properly considered at each
project phase of the product development. Conclusion is that such
model can provide more robustness to the decisions processes
within PDP.",
conference-location = "S{\~a}o Jos{\'e} dos Campos",
conference-year = "2007, July 16-20",
language = "en",
organisation = "Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)",
ibi = "dpi.inpe.br/ce@80/2007/01.07.18.13",
url = "http://urlib.net/ibi/dpi.inpe.br/ce@80/2007/01.07.18.13",
targetfile = "paper.pdf",
type = "Systems Architecting",
urlaccessdate = "08 maio 2024"
}